Crime Mapping: A Journal of Research and Practice

Co-Editors Timothy C. Hart, Ph.D. & Paul Zandbergen, Ph.D

• ISSN: 1942-0927 (Print) • ISSN: 2152-9876 (Online)

Keywords: Environmental Criminology, Crime Analysis, Space, Time, and Crime

Article Price: $18.99

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Multimodel Inference and Geographic Profiling
MIKE O’LEARY
Abstract | Pp. 50–64 |

The geographic profiling problem is to estimate the location of a serial criminal's anchor point from the locations of the crime sites in the series. The approach of O'Leary (2009) uses a model of offender behavior and Bayesian inference for this estimation, and the accuracy of this approach depends strongly on the appropriateness of the underlying model of offender behavior. We demonstrate how the Akaike information criterion can be used to evaluate candidates for models of offender behavior, and how multimodel inference can be used to combine estimates obtained from different models.

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